| SEAS5: the new ECMWF seasonal forecast system SJ Johnson, TN Stockdale, L Ferranti, MA Balmaseda, F Molteni, ... Geoscientific Model Development 12 (3), 1087-1117, 2019 | 446 | 2019 |
| Stochastic parametrization and model uncertainty TN Palmer, R Buizza, F Doblas-Reyes, T Jung, M Leutbecher, GJ Shutts, ... ECMWF 42 (598), 10, 2009 | 432 | 2009 |
| Stochastic parameterization: Toward a new view of weather and climate models J Berner, U Achatz, L Batte, L Bengtsson, A Cámara, HM Christensen, ... Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 98 (3), 565-588, 2017 | 392 | 2017 |
| Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts N Schaller, AL Kay, R Lamb, NR Massey, GJ Van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, ... Nature Climate Change 6 (6), 627-634, 2016 | 347 | 2016 |
| On the reliability of seasonal climate forecasts A Weisheimer, TN Palmer Journal of the Royal Society Interface 11 (96), 20131162, 2014 | 337 | 2014 |
| Toward seamless prediction: Calibration of climate change projections using seasonal forecasts TN Palmer, FJ Doblas-Reyes, A Weisheimer, MJ Rodwell Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 89 (4), 459-470, 2008 | 332 | 2008 |
| ENSEMBLES: A new multi‐model ensemble for seasonal‐to‐annual predictions—Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs A Weisheimer, FJ Doblas‐Reyes, TN Palmer, A Alessandri, A Arribas, ... Geophysical research letters 36 (21), 2009 | 312 | 2009 |
| Stochastic representations of model uncertainties at ECMWF: State of the art and future vision M Leutbecher, SJ Lock, P Ollinaho, STK Lang, G Balsamo, P Bechtold, ... Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 143 (707), 2315-2339, 2017 | 247 | 2017 |
| Probabilistic prediction of climate using multi-model ensembles: from basics to applications TN Palmer, FJ Doblas-Reyes, R Hagedorn, A Weisheimer Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 360 …, 2005 | 201 | 2005 |
| Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts FJ Doblas‐Reyes, A Weisheimer, M Déqué, N Keenlyside, M McVean, ... Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society: A journal of the …, 2009 | 155 | 2009 |
| Prediction and projection of heatwaves DIV Domeisen, EAB Eltahir, EM Fischer, R Knutti, SE Perkins-Kirkpatrick, ... Nature Reviews Earth & Environment 4 (1), 36-50, 2023 | 142 | 2023 |
| Atmospheric seasonal forecasts of the twentieth century: multi‐decadal variability in predictive skill of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and their potential value … A Weisheimer, N Schaller, C O'Reilly, DA MacLeod, T Palmer Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 143 (703), 917-926, 2017 | 129 | 2017 |
| SEAS5: the new ECMWF seasonal forecast system, Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 1087–1117 SJ Johnson, TN Stockdale, L Ferranti, MA Balmaseda, F Molteni, ... | 125 | 2019 |
| Dynamically‐based seasonal forecasts of Atlantic tropical storm activity issued in June by EUROSIP F Vitart, MR Huddleston, M Déqué, D Peake, TN Palmer, TN Stockdale, ... Geophysical Research Letters 34 (16), 2007 | 125 | 2007 |
| On the predictability of the extreme summer 2003 over Europe A Weisheimer, FJ Doblas‐Reyes, T Jung, TN Palmer Geophysical Research Letters 38 (5), 2011 | 122 | 2011 |
| Addressing model error through atmospheric stochastic physical parametrizations: Impact on the coupled ECMWF seasonal forecasting system A Weisheimer, S Corti, T Palmer, F Vitart Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical …, 2014 | 113 | 2014 |
| An intercomparison of skill and overconfidence/underconfidence of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation in multimodel seasonal forecasts LH Baker, LC Shaffrey, RT Sutton, A Weisheimer, AA Scaife Geophysical Research Letters 45 (15), 7808-7817, 2018 | 111 | 2018 |
| Impact of snow initialization on sub-seasonal forecasts YJ Orsolini, R Senan, G Balsamo, FJ Doblas-Reyes, F Vitart, ... Climate dynamics 41, 1969-1982, 2013 | 107 | 2013 |
| Impact of a quasi-stochastic cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and seasonal prediction skill of a global climate model J Berner, FJ Doblas-Reyes, TN Palmer, G Shutts, A Weisheimer Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical …, 2008 | 100 | 2008 |
| Evaluation of probabilistic quality and value of the ENSEMBLES multimodel seasonal forecasts: Comparison with DEMETER A Alessandri, A Borrelli, A Navarra, A Arribas, M Déqué, P Rogel, ... Monthly Weather Review 139 (2), 581-607, 2011 | 93 | 2011 |
Francisco Doblas-ReyesICREA and Barcelona Supercomputing CenterVerified email at bsc.es
